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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Guangzhou Institute: Make solid preparations for the listing of polysilicon futures and options to ensure the smooth launch and steady operation of polysilicon futures and options. With the rapid development of polysilicon industry, the relationship between supply and demand changes rapidly and the price fluctuates greatly due to various factors such as industrial policy, production cycle and technological progress. Due to the lack of objective and continuous price signals, the polysilicon industry has concentrated capacity investment and construction, which is prone to problems such as staged supply and demand mismatch, which is not conducive to the healthy and stable development of the industry. In this context, photovoltaic industry chain enterprises have increasingly strong demands for listed polysilicon futures, pricing with futures tools and managing risks. At the same time, the listed polysilicon futures will help to export the international pricing benchmark, form the "China" price of polysilicon international trade reflecting China's industrial volume, and gradually enhance China's influence in polysilicon international trade pricing. The insiders believe that at present, the industrial silicon varieties in Guangzhou have been running smoothly for nearly two years, and the listing of polysilicon varieties will further improve the variety layout of the crystalline silicon industrial chain for futures services, and provide more accurate futures tools for polysilicon and its downstream photovoltaic industrial chain, which is conducive to further consolidating the global competitive advantage of China's photovoltaic and other industries. The relevant person in charge of the Guangzhou Stock Exchange said that in the next step, under the guidance of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the Guangzhou Stock Exchange will make solid preparations for the listing of polysilicon futures and options to ensure the smooth launch and steady operation of polysilicon futures and options. (Guangzhou Institute)South Korean prosecutors arrested Li Zhenyu, commander of the Capital Defense Command. On December 13, local time, South Korean prosecutors urgently arrested Li Zhenyu, commander of the Capital Defense Command. (CCTV News)

Venezuelan authorities said that 103 people arrested after the July elections were released this week.Boeing plans to increase the monthly output of the 787 to 10 by 2026. Boeing said on Thursday that it plans to increase the monthly output of the 787 Dreamliner wide-body passenger aircraft to 10 by 2026. The aircraft manufacturer plans to expand its operations in Charleston County, South Carolina, invest $1 billion to upgrade infrastructure and create 500 new jobs. Boeing has been working hard to restore the output of 787 aircraft to the level of 5 aircraft per month before the end of this year, but the obstacles in the supply chain have led to production delays.Market news: Trump team seeks to integrate or cancel banking regulators.

Google CEO is expected to meet with US President-elect Trump on December 13th, local time.Expert comment: Grasp the core essence of "stabilizing the property market" and explain in detail the main starting points of real estate in the new stage. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, believes that "stabilizing the property market" should have a systematic and complete working path, including stabilizing housing consumption, stabilizing enterprise investment, promoting stock digestion, etc., and ultimately creating more power for the release of domestic demand. (Xinhua News Agency)Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)